Preliminary Meta DraftPatch 16.15

PRELIMINARY META DRAFT

Patch 16.15

Top

Zac

Jungle

Rek'Sai

Tryndamere League of Legends champion icon

Mid

Tryndamere

ADC

Karthus

Support

Maokai

A preliminary estimate for Patch 16.15

We're still collecting enough coordinated 5v5 data for this patch. The lineup below is a low-confidence estimate from champion performance, profiles and SoloQ signals — not a frozen Perfect Meta Draft.

84.0 Draft ScoreLOW confidenceCoordinated draft-meta missing

PatchOpen Live Draft Guide

Data analyzed

Previous patches stabilize the estimate when the current patch sample is still thin. Older games keep a lower weight; they never include future patches.

328,193 historical games from earlier patches are used as a statistical prior.

Patch	Games	Current
14.15	7	Prior
14.16	10	Prior
14.17	26	Prior
14.18	41	Prior
14.19	20	Prior
14.20	20	Prior
14.21	29	Prior
14.22	51	Prior
14.23	70	Prior
14.24	111	Prior
15.1	19	Prior
15.2	32	Prior
15.3	40	Prior
15.4	25	Prior
15.5	35	Prior
15.6	18	Prior
15.7	17	Prior
15.8	46	Prior
15.9	55	Prior
15.10	53	Prior
15.11	96	Prior
15.12	66	Prior
15.13	131	Prior
15.14	101	Prior
15.15	142	Prior
15.16	129	Prior
15.17	177	Prior
15.18	179	Prior
15.19	192	Prior
15.20	266	Prior
15.21	194	Prior
15.22	280	Prior
15.23	358	Prior
15.24	1,664	Prior
16.1	1,424	Prior
16.2	1,949	Prior
16.3	3,040	Prior
16.4	3,391	Prior
16.5	4,240	Prior
16.6	5,487	Prior
16.7	8,321	Prior
16.8	11,077	Prior
16.9	13,983	Prior
16.10	20,820	Prior
16.11	30,450	Prior
16.12	40,775	Prior
16.13	107,729	Prior
16.14	70,807	Prior
16.15	54,227	Yes

Champion strength

Top

Zac

Adjusted WR: 55.2%
Games: 214.32
Confidence: high

Jungle

Rek'Sai

Adjusted WR: 53.2%
Games: 651.78
Confidence: high

Mid

Tryndamere

Adjusted WR: 59.8%
Games: 144.46
Confidence: high

ADC

Karthus

Adjusted WR: 56.1%
Games: 193.24
Confidence: high

Support

Maokai

Adjusted WR: 53.4%
Games: 364.53
Confidence: high

Synergy

Coordinated pair synergies are not available yet. This estimate does not use observed 5v5 synergy or matchup residuals.

Score breakdown

champion Power	77.6
composition Quality	99.1

Why this draft?

Strong engage and front-to-back teamfighting
Strong objective control

How to play this comp

early Game: Look for early skirmishes and plate pressure before the enemy scaling window.
mid Game: Group the strongest two-man pairing around the next Herald or dragon.
teamfights: Start fights on your engage threat, then hold a front-to-back shape.
win Condition: Convert picks or wave priority into dragons and Baron rather than chasing leftover fights.
avoid: Avoid splitting the map if your engage and peel cannot reconnect.

Best replacements

Each backup is rescored inside this exact composition, not as a standalone lane pick.

Top

Ornn82.2 (-1.9)
Shen81.2 (-2.8)
Malphite81.0 (-3.1)

Jungle

MonkeyKing83.1 (-0.9)
Jarvan IV82.9 (-1.2)
Vi82.6 (-1.5)

Mid

Zed77.1 (-6.9)
Syndra76.5 (-7.6)
Galio76.4 (-7.6)

ADC

Tristana79.8 (-4.3)
Jinx79.4 (-4.7)
Ashe79.3 (-4.7)

Support

Yuumi82.9 (-1.1)
Leona82.9 (-1.2)
Thresh82.8 (-1.3)

How this preliminary estimate is built

Coordinated 5v5 draft-meta is still missing, so this page cannot publish a Perfect Meta Draft. The current lineup is a preliminary estimate from champion performance, profiles and SoloQ DPM. Pair synergies and matchup residuals are not used until that coordinated sample is available.

Patch just dropped? That's exactly when raw win rates are the least reliable. Our model uses previous patches as a statistical prior, then progressively shifts toward current-patch data as the sample grows.

We collect coordinated five-player games, especially Flex and Ranked 5.
Master+ and Ranked 5 samples receive a higher data-quality weight.
Recent patches weigh more than older ones.
Older patches stabilize estimates while a new patch is still thin.
Champion power is shrinked so 70% on 20 games cannot beat 54% on 8,000.
Synergies and matchups are residuals, not raw pair win rates.
The search looks for the five-champion unit that fits the actual meta, not every possible draft.

Methodology meta-draft-v1 · cutoff patch 16.15 · incomplete · not frozen

Perfect Meta Draft history

Patch	Composition
16.17	Wukong / Zyra / Singed / Tristana / Yuumi
16.16	Fiddlesticks / Taliyah / Tryndamere / Xayah / RellPreliminary
16.15	Zac / Rek'Sai / Tryndamere / Karthus / MaokaiPreliminary
16.14	Kayle / Rek'Sai / Tryndamere / Karthus / BraumPreliminary
16.13	Rek'Sai / Zyra / Riven / Karthus / TaricPreliminary

Why not just use SoloQ winrate?

A team draft depends on synergies, role assignments, coordinated play, matchup structure, engage, frontline and the opponents good teams actually pick. A champion that is strong in Solo Queue does not automatically produce the best five-player draft.

Teams

1,054

Players

5,054

Games

18,719

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